As a signatory to the UN Declaration on road safety and member of the EU, Poland has an obligation to comply with relevant EU policies and in particular to halve the overall number of road deaths by 2020. To monitor the progress in reaching the targets, the road safety situation must be evaluated and its processes understood. For this purpose regional and national road safety observatories were launched in Poland, which triggered the need to develop special methods and tools to assess trends and how different factors affect risk, particularly in the short and mid-term perspective. One of these tools can be structural time-series models to explain how trends change and forecast realistic scenarios of change. We can also use models to simulate the effects of sources of risk on selected road accident consequences on sections of Poland’s road network.
Authors
Additional information
- Category
- Publikacja w czasopiśmie
- Type
- artykuły w czasopismach recenzowanych i innych wydawnictwach ciągłych
- Language
- angielski
- Publication year
- 2015
