Energy and load demand forecasting in short-horizons, over an interval ranging from one hour to one week, is crucial for on-line scheduling and security functions of power system. Many load forecasting methods have been developed in recent years which are usually complex solutions with many adjustable parameters. Best-matching models and their relevant parameters have to be determined in a search procedure. We propose a hybrid prediction model, where best exemplars from a possibly large set of different simple short-time load forecasting models are automatically selected based on their past performance by a multi-agent system with history-based weighting. The increase of prediction accuracy has been verified on real load data from the Polish power system.
Authors
- dr inż. Artur Opaliński link open in new tab ,
- dr hab Dudek Grzegorz
Additional information
- DOI
- Digital Object Identifier link open in new tab 10.1109/epe.2016.7521810
- Category
- Aktywność konferencyjna
- Type
- publikacja w wydawnictwie zbiorowym recenzowanym (także w materiałach konferencyjnych)
- Language
- angielski
- Publication year
- 2016
